Poll shows Trump leading Biden in presidential race, seven swing states

A Democracy Institute/ Sunday Express poll shows President Donald Trump leading his Democratic rival former vice president Joe Biden in the race for the White House and surpassing him in seven battleground states.

He leads Biden in the presidential race overall 48 percent to 46 percent, according to the poll, because Americans think he is best suited to pull the economy out of the slump caused by the coronavirus pandemic. Voters think Trump is better for the economy by 57 percent to 43 percent.

Trump tops Biden in the swing states of Florida, Iowa, Michigan, Minnesota, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, giving him an insurmountable electoral college tally of 309 to Biden’s 229.

Trump leads Biden 47 to 45 in Florida and holds a razor thin 46 to 45 lead in Minnesota. In New Hampshire Trump leads Biden 46 percent to 43 percent.

Pollsters found that a third of voters chose the economy as their most important issue in the election. A significant majority of 66 percent believe the economy is bouncing back after coronavirus.

Director of the Democracy Institute Patrick Basham concluded that Biden’s campaign appears to have “reached its high water mark”.

 “Although Biden remains in a competitive race with Donald Trump, and may well do so until election day, his support isn’t growing. And, tellingly, almost all of the issues that matter most to voters are trending in President Trump’s favor,” he said.

“More Americans are concerned about the economy and keeping their current, or getting a new, job. They don’t especially blame Trump for the lockdown-induced economic contraction, and they think he’ll do a better job of righting the economic ship than Biden.”

A majority of 64 percent support Trump’s calls for schools to reopen soon in the wake of the crisis. “It’s very significant that education now ties the pandemic as the second most important issue to voters. Today, in the American context, “education” is synonymous with school closings. It’s become such an important issue to so many people that there’s now a clear divide in American politics on the issue,” Basham noted.

Trump’s biggest “Achilles heel” is voters think Biden would do a better job than him in handling the coronavirus pandemic. Only 41 percent approve of Trump’s handling of the crisis while 49 percent disapprove.

The pollsters are noticing a phenomenon that first became apparent in 2016, secret Trump supporters. These are “shy voters” who do not want to tell people they are voting for him. According to the poll 71 percent of Trump voters are “shy” to admit it compared to 66 percent a month ago.

Trump voters are significantly more enthusiastic than Biden’s according to the poll. A whopping 79 percent of Trump voters are enthusiastic about their candidate compared to just 41 percent of Biden voters, two points lower than a month ago. Only 4 percent of Trump voters believe they could change their minds while 10 percent of Biden voters could switch.

Voters are also concerned that Biden may be suffering from the early stages of dementia. According to the poll 58 percent believe Biden is suffering from cognitive decline compared to 55 percent in a poll done last month.

The former vice president’s numerous gaffes have not gone unnoticed by voters even though he spends so much time out of the spotlight. This gives Trump a huge advantage in the presidential election as 48 percent of respondents indicated they are less likely to vote for him as a result compared to 40 percent a month ago. Most respondents also believe Trump will win the first debate by 62 percent to 38 percent.