A new survey from Public Policy Polling of likely voters in Georgia finds Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden and senatorial candidates Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff leading the state’s slate of Republican candidates.
The poll also finds that both Senate seats appear headed for runoffs. Ossoff has a one percent edge at 44% to 43% for David Perdue, with Libertarian Shane Hazel polling at 4%, more than the difference between his rivals.
In the special Senate election, Raphael Warnock now has a 17-point lead over the rest of the field at 41% to 24% for Kelly Loeffler and 22% for Doug Collins. Democratic candidates Matt Lieberman is no longer a serious contender as he now garners only 3% support. Ed Tarver is virtually out of the race with less than 1% support.
Warnock is the most popular of the major candidates in the field with a +17 net favorability rating at 43/26. By contrast Kelly Loeffler has a -11 net approval rating at 31/42 and Doug Collins has a -4 net favorability rating at 32/36.
Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by one percent with 47% support to 46%. Trump’s 46% vote share matches his approval rating in the state, with 50% of voters disapproving of him, according to pollsters.
Democrats are becoming increasingly confident that they could score a major win in the state for the first time in nearly three decades. Biden leads by 19 percent with voters under 45 and by 4 percent with voters between 46 and 65.
The last time Georgia picked a Democrat for president was 1992, when then-Arkansas Gov. Bill Clinton won the state.
Ossoff leads by 20 percent with voters under 45 and by 4 per cent with voters between 46 and 65. Republicans continue to poll extremely well with with seniors, giving Trump a 25-point edge in that demographic. Perdue also enjoys a 28-point edge among seniors as well.
Pollsters say a generational change is making the state much more hospitable for Democrats, and conclude that the trend is likely to continue.
PPP interviewed 528 Georgia voters on October 8th and 9th. The margin of error is +/-4.3%.
An WSB-TV/Landmark Communications poll released October 9 showed Trump jumping back in the lead in Georgia, and predicted that the race for president was too close to call and well within the poll’s margin of error. The poll of 600 likely voters took place on October 7.
According to pollsters Trump now leads 48.6 percent to Biden’s 46.8 percent. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen was only garnering 0.7 percent support.
The number of undecided voters polled at just under 4 percent and the margin of error was the same at 4 percent.
Trump was also edging Biden by just two points in an Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll released Thursday, conducted by the University of Georgia’s School of Public and International Affairs from Sept. 27-Oct. 6. He was garnering 48% support while Biden was close behind at 46%.
The poll was taken last week when both candidates debated for the first time and Trump was hospitalized with coronavirus and discharged. Few voters shifted their positions from the previous poll despite these events. The poll found just 3% of voters saying they were undecided, while another 3% backed Jorgensen.
Several polls of the Georgia presidential race have both candidates in a dead heat. A week earlier Quinnipiac University found that Biden had a 50%-47% edge over Trump.